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Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$549 24h vol·tech
1 comments·$876 total volume·Open for 32 days

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

36%-11.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

Order Book

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢27$26
95.0¢20$19
94.0¢12$12
89.0¢165$147
88.0¢16$14
84.0¢5$4
64.0¢8$5
55.0¢33$18
53.0¢13$7
37.0¢65$24
35.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
35.0¢170$59
32.0¢231$74
31.0¢131$41
30.0¢20$6
23.0¢20$5
16.0¢20$3
13.0¢137$18
11.0¢1.5k$165
3.0¢30$1
2.0¢2.8k$56
$427 bids$277 asks

Resolution Criteria

If Rocket Lab’s Neutron rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Rocket Lab (https://www.youtube.com/@RocketLabCorp), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change or rebranding of the Neutron vehicle will have no bearing on the market’s resolution.

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

36%