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Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$42 24h vol·politics
$209 total volume·Open for 22 days

August 30

56%+5.5%
OutcomeYesNo
August 30
October 31
December 31
June 30

Order Book

August 30

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢80$79
98.0¢25$24
97.0¢13$13
95.0¢7$7
94.0¢44$41
77.0¢ spread
17.0¢42$7
15.0¢50$8
11.0¢240$26
10.0¢400$40
4.0¢12$0
3.0¢23$1
2.0¢1.3k$25
1.0¢2.6k$26
$134 bids$164 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify. Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

August 30

56%