← Markets
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

Resolves Jun 30, 2027·$863 24h vol·tech
$863 total volume·Open for 1 days

December 31, 2026

62%+21.0%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31, 2026
June 30, 2027
August 31, 2026

Order Book

December 31, 2026

PriceSharesTotal
94.0¢20$19
92.0¢13$12
91.0¢50$46
88.0¢8$7
84.0¢6$5
80.0¢5$4
79.0¢10$8
76.0¢300$228
75.0¢30$23
72.0¢168$121
60.0¢last trade
19.0¢ spread
53.0¢15$8
52.0¢71$37
50.0¢130$65
48.0¢52$25
45.0¢65$29
40.0¢600$240
20.0¢2.5k$490
13.0¢862$112
11.0¢38$4
9.0¢250$23
$1.0k bids$472 asks

Resolution Criteria

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

December 31, 2026

63%