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U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026·$19 24h vol·politics
$19 total volume

July 31

60%+15.5%
OutcomeYesNo
July 31
June 30

Order Book

July 31

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢114$113
98.0¢1.1k$1.1k
97.0¢175$170
96.0¢25$24
94.0¢17$16
93.0¢6$6
92.0¢13$12
90.0¢10$9
13.0¢last trade
60.0¢ spread
30.0¢500$150
23.0¢2.0k$460
22.0¢36$8
21.0¢311$65
15.0¢60$9
9.0¢240$22
8.0¢7$1
7.0¢750$53
5.0¢250$13
4.0¢1.1k$44
$823 bids$1.5k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.

July 31

60%