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US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$90 24h vol·economy
$90 total volume·Open for 4 days

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

73%+18.0%
OutcomeYesNo
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

Order Book

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢7$7
98.0¢500$490
96.0¢180$173
95.0¢46$44
80.0¢10$8
75.0¢10$8
65.0¢last trade
5.0¢ spread
70.0¢7$5
69.0¢100$69
67.0¢40$27
63.0¢140$88
53.0¢500$265
51.0¢400$204
41.0¢100$41
40.0¢500$200
36.0¢500$180
35.0¢200$70
$1.1k bids$729 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

73%