US recognize Somaliland by...?
Resolves Jun 30, 2026·$0 24h vol·geopolitics
1 comments·$11.7k total volume·Open for 334 days
June 30
3%-41.5%
OutcomeYesNo1W24h Vol
+0.4%
—
Order Book
June 30
PriceSharesTotal
73.0¢151$110
69.3¢495$343
69.0¢286$197
62.6¢624$391
62.0¢63$39
49.9¢500$250
30.0¢458$137
29.8¢40$12
15.1¢21$3
4.2¢29$1
—
2.9¢ spread1.3¢77$1
1.2¢16$0
0.8¢12$0
0.7¢13$0
0.6¢31$0
0.5¢42$0
0.4¢76$0
0.3¢701$2
0.2¢3.4k$7
0.1¢30.1k$30
$41 bids$1.5k asks
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Somaliland as an independent state by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only the U.S. government's formal recognition of Somaliland as an independent state will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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