What price will Sui hit in 2026?

Resolution Criteria

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Bybit 1-minute candle for Sui (SUI/USDT) between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Bybit, specifically the SUI/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.bybit.com/en/trade/spot/SUI/USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Bybit SUI/USDT price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

This market asks whether Sui (SUI) will reach specific price targets at any point in 2026, resolved using Bybit 1-minute candle highs on the SUI/USDT pair. Volume is spread across eleven price-level outcomes, with the $0.80 threshold and the $1.40 threshold drawing the heaviest concentration of backing. Resolution occurs if any single 1-minute candle high on Bybit meets or exceeds the stated price before 31 December 2026, 23:59 ET.

Market structure

Eleven separate yes/no outcomes span a wide range of price levels, from the low-$0.20s to $3.00. Volume is heavily concentrated on lower thresholds such as $0.80 and $1.40, with backing thinning progressively toward the higher targets of $2.50 and $3.00. Resolution requires only a single 1-minute candle high on Bybit SUI/USDT to meet or exceed the specified level. The deadline for all outcomes is 1 January 2027, 05:00 UTC.

Background

Sui is a layer-1 blockchain developed by Mysten Labs, launched on mainnet in May 2023. It uses the Move programming language and an object-centric data model designed for high throughput and low latency. SUI's native token is used for transaction fees, staking, and governance. The asset attracted significant attention during the broader 2024 crypto rally, reaching multi-dollar valuations before retracing. As a relatively young layer-1 competing with established networks such as Solana and Aptos, Sui's price trajectory in 2026 will be shaped by ecosystem growth, developer adoption, broader market sentiment, and the competitive dynamics of the layer-1 sector.

Key factors

Several structural factors bear on whether Sui reaches any given price threshold before end-2026. Broader cryptocurrency market conditions — including Bitcoin's price cycle, macro interest-rate environment, and institutional capital flows — historically exert strong influence on altcoin valuations. Sui-specific catalysts include the pace of decentralised application deployment on its network, total value locked growth, partnership announcements, and any token unlock schedules that affect circulating supply. Regulatory developments in major jurisdictions could alter trading volumes or exchange access. Because resolution requires only a single 1-minute candle high to touch the threshold, intraday volatility and liquidity conditions on Bybit are particularly relevant — a brief spike during a high-volume event could resolve a target that sustained price action never sustains. Conversely, lower thresholds could resolve via downside volatility if the token trades below current levels for an extended period.

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