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What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?

What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026·$295 24h vol·economy
$295 total volume

$433K - $440K

46%-4.0%
OutcomeYesNo
$433K - $440K
$447K - $454K
$454K+
$419K - $426K
$426K - $433K
$440K - $447K
<$419K

Order Book

$433K - $440K

PriceSharesTotal
97.0¢16$16
96.0¢23$22
95.0¢30$29
94.0¢27$25
93.0¢20$19
92.0¢26$24
90.0¢39$35
89.0¢91$81
88.0¢94$83
81.0¢105$85
11.0¢last trade
70.0¢ spread
11.0¢38$4
10.0¢21$2
3.0¢313$9
2.0¢13$0
1.0¢50$1
$16 bids$417 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)

$433K - $440K

46%