← Markets
What will Trump do on the 4th of July?

What will Trump do on the 4th of July?

Resolves Jul 4, 2026·$318 24h vol·politics
$318 total volume

Insult Someone

85%+1.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Insult Someone
Kiss Someone
Wear a Blue Tie
Wear a Red Tie
Post on Truth Social 20+ Times
Sign an Executive Order
Wear a MAGA Hat
Hug Someone
Praise Allah

Order Book

Insult Someone

PriceSharesTotal
98.0¢565$554
97.0¢333$323
96.0¢35$34
94.0¢17$16
93.0¢10$9
92.0¢13$12
90.0¢10$9
88.0¢681$599
87.0¢1.1k$989
86.0¢320$275
84.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
84.0¢498$419
83.0¢1.1k$911
82.0¢290$238
81.0¢75$61
35.0¢300$105
34.0¢1.6k$560
30.0¢2.3k$700
26.0¢2.7k$700
22.0¢908$200
21.0¢3.7k$770
$4.7k bids$2.8k asks

Resolution Criteria

Rules

Related Markets

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

$3.2M vol

94%Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$2.5M vol

20%Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$1.3M vol

20%Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$1.1M vol

40%

More in politics

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

$911.5k vol

49%Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

$898.5k vol

14%Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$764.2k vol

80%Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$758.6k vol

42%

Insult Someone

85%