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Which company has the third best AI model end of July?

Which company has the third best AI model end of July?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026·$210 24h vol·tech
$210 total volume·Open for 1 days

Anthropic

43%-2.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Anthropic
Alibaba
Google
OpenAI
Meta
Baidu
Z.ai
ByteDance
xAI
DeepSeek

Order Book

Anthropic

PriceSharesTotal
96.0¢25$24
95.0¢6$6
92.0¢53$48
91.0¢15$14
90.0¢8$7
84.0¢6$5
80.0¢5$4
76.0¢34$26
74.0¢100$74
73.0¢100$73
42.0¢last trade
60.0¢ spread
13.0¢10$1
12.0¢200$24
11.0¢250$28
10.0¢1.0k$100
5.0¢50$3
2.0¢7$0
1.0¢100$1
$156 bids$281 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Anthropic

44%