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Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Resolves Oct 28, 2026·$0 24h vol·politics
$0 total volume

Likud

54%+2.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Likud
UTJ
Yisrael Beiteinu
Religious Zionism
Yashar
New Hope
Otzma Yehudit
Together
Blue and White
Democrats

Order Book

Likud

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢3.8k$3.8k
97.0¢143$139
96.0¢375$360
85.0¢ spread
11.0¢136$15
10.0¢300$30
5.0¢83$4
3.0¢250$8
2.0¢500$10
1.0¢750$8
$74 bids$4.3k asks

Resolution Criteria

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026. This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties. Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

Likud

54%