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Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?

Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?

Resolves Jul 7, 2026·$260.5k 24h vol·geopolitics
3 comments·$326.3k total volume·Open for 1 days

Abbas Araghchi

41%-35.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Abbas Araghchi
Shehbaz Sharif
Jared Kushner
JD Vance
Steve Witkoff
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan
Masoud Pezeshkian

Order Book

Abbas Araghchi

PriceSharesTotal
72.0¢206$149
71.0¢1.5k$1.0k
70.0¢6$4
69.0¢286$197
68.0¢124$85
66.0¢170$112
50.0¢800$400
49.0¢194$95
45.0¢100$45
44.0¢347$153
22.0¢last trade
6.0¢ spread
38.0¢5$2
20.0¢124$25
19.0¢600$114
17.0¢200$34
16.0¢519$83
15.0¢1.5k$229
10.0¢989$99
5.0¢10$1
3.0¢2.3k$69
2.0¢4.4k$87
$743 bids$2.3k asks

Resolution Criteria

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Abbas Araghchi

41%