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Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

Resolves Aug 1, 2026·$77 24h vol·politics
$77 total volume

JD Vance

57%+12.5%
OutcomeYesNo
JD Vance
Marco Rubio
Shehbaz Sharif
Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan
Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa
King Abdullah II
Benjamin Netanyahu
Mohammed bin Salman
Recep Tayyip Erdogan

Order Book

JD Vance

PriceSharesTotal
98.0¢64$63
97.0¢65$63
96.0¢35$33
94.0¢17$16
93.0¢5$5
92.0¢13$12
90.0¢10$9
89.0¢7$6
87.0¢8$7
84.0¢6$5
19.0¢last trade
53.0¢ spread
31.0¢50$16
30.0¢100$30
4.0¢40$2
3.0¢63$2
2.0¢10$0
1.0¢647$6
$56 bids$219 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

JD Vance

57%