← Markets
Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026·$910 24h vol·politics
$910 total volume

Joe Biden

97%+1.1%
OutcomeYesNo
Joe Biden
Barack Obama
Nicolás Maduro
Benjamin Netanyahu
Zohran Mamdani
Jerome Powell
Alex Jones
Kaitlan Collins
Freidrich Merz
Xi Jinping

Order Book

Joe Biden

PriceSharesTotal
99.9¢94$94
1.0¢last trade
2.6¢ spread
97.3¢10$10
97.2¢24$23
97.1¢240$233
96.4¢230$222
95.5¢250$239
95.0¢33$31
94.8¢200$190
93.4¢200$187
93.0¢2.0k$1.9k
70.1¢10$7
$3.0k bids$94 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

Joe Biden

97%