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Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$0 24h vol·crypto
24 comments·$29.6k total volume·Open for 200 days

December 31, 2026

53%-25.5%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31, 2026
June 30, 2026

Order Book

December 31, 2026

PriceSharesTotal
97.0¢60$58
85.0¢10$8
80.0¢14$11
79.0¢52$41
71.0¢17$12
66.0¢9$6
65.0¢38$24
35.0¢last trade
27.0¢ spread
38.0¢62$24
37.0¢7$3
36.0¢5$2
21.0¢52$11
20.0¢7$1
19.0¢308$59
18.0¢96$17
5.0¢1.0k$50
3.0¢267$8
2.0¢500$10
$184 bids$161 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between November 13, 3:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a country announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes"). A qualifying purchase requires a relevant country take direct custody over the Bitcoin they purchase. Buying into investment vehicles, ETFs, etc., which do not constitute a direct purchase of Bitcoin, will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

December 31, 2026

52%