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Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$0 24h vol·tech
$3.1k total volume·Open for 60 days

1560

84%-8.0%
OutcomeYesNo
1560
1580
1600

Order Book

1560

PriceSharesTotal
98.0¢138$135
97.0¢13$12
95.0¢80$76
93.0¢79$73
92.0¢7$6
91.0¢184$167
90.0¢16$14
88.0¢170$150
86.0¢114$98
85.0¢100$85
3.0¢ spread
82.0¢445$365
81.0¢208$168
80.0¢20$16
38.0¢29$11
37.0¢697$258
36.0¢97$35
27.0¢200$54
26.0¢500$130
24.0¢150$36
23.0¢1.6k$369
$1.4k bids$818 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

1560

84%