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Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$76 24h vol·politics
$76 total volume·Open for 1 days

December 31, 2026

52%+5.5%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31, 2026
June 30, 2027
September 30, 2026

Order Book

December 31, 2026

PriceSharesTotal
97.0¢41$40
96.0¢1.5k$1.5k
94.0¢17$16
93.0¢39$36
92.0¢24$22
91.0¢6$6
90.0¢10$9
87.0¢8$7
67.0¢1.0k$677
66.0¢15$10
34.0¢last trade
28.0¢ spread
38.0¢35$13
34.0¢10$3
30.0¢20$6
26.0¢60$16
25.0¢1.0k$250
8.0¢7$1
7.0¢150$11
6.0¢250$15
5.0¢375$19
4.0¢2.0k$79
$412 bids$2.3k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.

December 31, 2026

52%