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Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?

Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$145 24h vol·crypto
30 comments·$83.2k total volume·Open for 275 days

December 31, 2026

36%-23.5%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31, 2026

Order Book

December 31, 2026

PriceSharesTotal
75.0¢140$105
72.0¢300$216
71.0¢165$117
70.0¢63$44
69.0¢6$4
57.0¢19$11
50.0¢60$30
49.0¢22$11
44.0¢81$36
43.0¢15$6
56.0¢last trade
15.0¢ spread
28.0¢27$7
23.0¢48$11
22.0¢71$16
21.0¢122$26
20.0¢237$47
19.0¢162$31
14.0¢377$53
8.0¢242$19
7.0¢429$30
5.0¢80$4
$244 bids$580 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the bitcoin holding officially owned by the Republic of the El Salvador government reaches or surpasses a value of $1b at any point by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolutions source for this market will be the ARKHAM INTEL tracker (see: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/el-salvador). Any temporary glitches or errors in the tracker will not be considered. If the tracker becomes permanently unavailable another credible source may be used. Official announcements form the government of El Salvador confirming their bitcoin holdings have reached or surpassed $1b in value will also qualify.

December 31, 2026

36%