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Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?

Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?

Resolves May 31, 2026·$340 24h vol·geopolitics
$83.1k total volume·Open for 112 days

December 31

28%-22.0%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31
May 31

Order Book

December 31

PriceSharesTotal
90.0¢900$810
89.0¢6$5
83.0¢776$644
79.0¢171$135
78.0¢94$73
69.0¢133$92
68.0¢6$4
57.0¢20$11
42.0¢29$12
30.0¢150$45
70.0¢last trade
3.0¢ spread
27.0¢16$4
26.0¢25$7
25.0¢25$6
24.0¢25$6
23.0¢25$6
22.0¢25$6
21.0¢25$5
20.0¢25$5
19.0¢25$5
18.0¢25$5
$54 bids$1.8k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Pokrovskoe, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, (47.984559° N, 36.228316° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

December 31

28%