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Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?

Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026·$0 24h vol·politics
$0 total volume·Open for 1 days

Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?

75%+25.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?

Order Book

Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢850$842
98.0¢257$252
95.0¢10$10
94.0¢8$8
91.0¢201$183
89.0¢60$53
87.0¢22$19
85.0¢11$9
84.0¢56$47
19.0¢ spread
65.0¢56$37
64.0¢7$5
62.0¢30$19
60.0¢500$300
30.0¢20$6
23.0¢50$12
21.0¢100$21
19.0¢22$4
16.0¢200$32
11.0¢60$7
$441 bids$1.4k asks

Resolution Criteria

The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance." This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases. Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.' The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?

75%