Will Spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spotify officially reports 1 billion or more Total Monthly Active Users in its Q4 2026 earnings report. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, the 1 billion figure must be explicitly reflected in the "Total Monthly Active Users (MAUs)" figure in Spotify's official Q4 2026 earnings report. This includes both free (ad-supported) and paid (premium) users combined. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count. If Spotify's Q4 2026 earnings report has not been officially published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official investor relations communications (https://investors.spotify.com).