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Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$172 24h vol·tech
$172 total volume

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

33%+3.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

Order Book

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢105$104
98.0¢7$7
96.0¢60$58
95.0¢80$76
94.0¢100$94
93.0¢8$7
49.0¢20$10
46.0¢15$7
45.0¢11$5
12.0¢last trade
25.0¢ spread
20.0¢100$20
14.0¢50$7
13.0¢95$12
10.0¢500$50
7.0¢7$0
6.0¢500$30
5.0¢1.1k$53
4.0¢2.9k$118
3.0¢4.7k$141
2.0¢7.4k$149
$581 bids$368 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

33%