← Markets
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026·$127 24h vol·tech
$106.5k total volume·Open for 202 days

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

7%-13.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Order Book

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

PriceSharesTotal
23.0¢444$102
21.0¢343$72
20.0¢10$2
15.0¢500$75
14.0¢5$1
13.0¢90$12
11.0¢18$2
10.0¢30$3
9.0¢12$1
8.0¢5$0
91.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
6.0¢200$12
5.0¢2.0k$100
3.0¢100$3
2.0¢1.6k$32
1.0¢400$4
$151 bids$270 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

7%