
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
Resolves Dec 31, 2027·$435 24h vol·tech
46 comments·$851.0k total volume·Open for 184 days
June 30, 2027
54%+9.5%
OutcomeYesNo1W24h Vol
+2.0%
—
-16.0%
—
-0.7%
$435
Order Book
June 30, 2027
PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢26$26
95.0¢20$19
94.0¢9$8
86.0¢3.0k$2.6k
85.0¢17$14
—
62.0¢ spread23.0¢9$2
22.0¢222$49
8.0¢6$1
7.0¢500$35
5.0¢200$10
3.0¢106$3
2.0¢3.3k$66
1.0¢320.0k$3.2k
$3.4k bids$2.6k asks
Resolution Criteria
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
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