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Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?

Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026·$81 24h vol·politics
$81 total volume

Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?

45%-7.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?

Order Book

Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢107$106
98.0¢40$39
94.0¢5$5
80.0¢200$160
79.0¢35$28
59.0¢20$12
47.0¢41$19
46.0¢86$40
47.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
44.0¢80$35
43.0¢23$10
41.0¢40$16
20.0¢200$40
17.0¢300$51
16.0¢200$32
15.0¢300$45
11.0¢200$22
10.0¢1.0k$100
6.0¢11$1
$352 bids$408 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?

45%