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Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$228 24h vol·politics
18 comments·$164.8k total volume·Open for 196 days

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

8%-4.4%
OutcomeYesNo
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Order Book

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

PriceSharesTotal
10.3¢21$2
10.1¢10$1
9.6¢38$4
9.5¢96$9
9.4¢133$12
9.3¢61$6
9.2¢179$16
9.1¢120$11
8.7¢70$6
8.4¢275$23
7.9¢last trade
0.6¢ spread
7.8¢45$4
7.7¢30$2
7.0¢4.0k$278
6.9¢570$39
6.8¢520$35
6.2¢21$1
5.7¢141$8
5.6¢230$13
5.3¢91$5
5.2¢33$2
$388 bids$91 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

8%