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Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

Resolves Jun 20, 2026·$3.0k 24h vol·politics
$4.6k total volume·Open for 2 days

Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

27%-25.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

Order Book

Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

PriceSharesTotal
66.0¢193$128
64.0¢5$3
63.0¢112$71
55.0¢10$6
54.0¢10$5
49.0¢100$49
47.0¢30$14
46.0¢339$156
43.0¢69$30
30.0¢242$73
23.0¢last trade
7.0¢ spread
23.0¢315$72
22.0¢200$44
21.0¢150$32
17.0¢10$2
15.0¢22$3
14.0¢46$6
13.0¢145$19
12.0¢122$15
11.0¢611$67
10.0¢200$20
$280 bids$534 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying partner in a handshake with JD Vance must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. The resolution source will be photo or video.

Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

27%