LIVE
Ballon d'Or Winner 202677%
Fed Decision in October?93%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage80%
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?54%
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers98%
Which party will win the House in 2026?92%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B50%
Wizards vs. Hornets97%
Cowboys vs. Eagles97%
Suns vs. Thunder98%
France declares state of emergency by...?10%
Israeli Legislative Election Winner69%
Ballon d'Or Winner 202677%
Fed Decision in October?93%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage80%
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?54%
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers98%
Which party will win the House in 2026?92%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B50%
Wizards vs. Hornets97%
Cowboys vs. Eagles97%
Suns vs. Thunder98%
France declares state of emergency by...?10%
Israeli Legislative Election Winner69%

Live Prediction Markets

Know what's worth
betting on.

Live odds on the world's biggest questions: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics. Spot moves early, trade with conviction.

Browse markets →
24h Volume

$89.7M

Active Markets

1,576

How it works

01 / Sign

Sign up in 30 seconds

Just an email. No KYC, no crypto wallet needed.

02 / Browse

Browse live markets

Real-world questions across politics, sports, crypto, and geopolitics, priced live by other traders.

03 / Buy

Buy YES or NO

Pick the outcome you believe in. Prices show the implied probability.

04 / Cash

Cash out anytime

Sell before resolution, or hold for the full payout if you’re right.

Featured markets

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Why Paridesk

Built for trust

We can’t touch your money

Non-custodial. Your funds stay in your wallet. We can’t freeze, hold, or lose them.

Settled by real events

Markets resolve from what actually happens, not opinions. Winnings paid in USDC.

Available worldwide

160+ countries supported. Check your region in the badge up top.

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

On a trade of
Paridesk0.5%
$0.25
MetaMask Predictions4%
$2.00
Jupiter Predictmatches the exchange fee
~$1.00 to $2.00

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Frequently Asked

Common questions

Yes. Paridesk is non-custodial: your funds stay in your wallet, not ours. Trades settle on Polygon, a public blockchain. We don’t hold customer funds, we can’t freeze your account, and there’s nothing on our balance sheet to lose.