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World Cup Winner
What it means
This market is asking: which national soccer team will lift the FIFA World Cup trophy in 2026? The tournament is hosted across the United States, Canada, and Mexico, and this market covers every competing nation — France, Spain, England, and many others all have their own odds. A 'Yes' for a given team means they win the whole tournament; a 'No' means they were eliminated before the final, or simply didn't win it all.
Why it's hard to call
Predicting a World Cup winner is genuinely hard because 48 teams compete and a single injury, red card, or penalty shootout can end any team's run. France and Spain each sit at 17%, meaning the market sees roughly 66% probability spread across all the other nations combined — no clear favorite exists. Months remain before the tournament even begins, so squad form, injuries, and tournament draws are all still unknown. Upsets are a defining feature of World Cups.
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