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U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$125 24h vol·politics
3 comments·$444.6k total volume·Open for 240 days

December 31, 2026

33%+5.0%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31, 2026

Order Book

December 31, 2026

PriceSharesTotal
78.0¢1.0k$788
75.0¢1.6k$1.2k
74.0¢200$148
70.0¢1.3k$914
69.0¢719$496
68.0¢192$131
63.0¢100$63
40.0¢300$120
39.0¢32$12
38.0¢21$8
35.0¢last trade
11.0¢ spread
27.0¢30$8
25.0¢25$6
24.0¢25$6
21.0¢40$8
20.0¢35$7
19.0¢62$12
18.0¢47$8
17.0¢45$8
16.0¢50$8
12.0¢45$5
$77 bids$3.9k asks

Resolution Criteria

The United States has suspended operations of the Embassy in Damascus since February 6, 2012. As of market creation, the Government of the Czech Republic serves as the protecting power for U.S. interests in Syria and provides limited consular services to U.S. citizens. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening of its embassy in Damascus or if such a reopening is otherwise confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a U.S. embassy in Damascus will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S. and Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

December 31, 2026

33%